Source code for message_ix_models.model.transport.factor

"""Tools for scaling factors.

.. todo:: Add further :class:`.Layer` subclasses beyond :class:`.Constant` for, for
   instance:

   - Linear interpolation between given points.
   - Exponentials, splines, and other functions.
"""

import logging
import operator
import re
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
from collections.abc import Callable, Mapping, Sequence
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from functools import partial
from typing import TYPE_CHECKING, Any, Optional, Union

import pandas as pd
from genno import Computer, Key, Quantity
from genno import operator as g

from message_ix_models.project.ssp import SSP_2024

if TYPE_CHECKING:
    import genno.core.key

log = logging.getLogger(__name__)


[docs] class Layer(ABC): """Base class for layered assumptions used to build up a factor quantification.""" #: Operation for combining the quantification of this layer with the quantification #: of the previous layer. Used by :meth:`apply`. #: #: Choices might include: #: #: - :func:`operator.mul`: take the product of this layer and previous layer's #: values. #: - :func:`.operator.pow`: raise the previous layer's values to the values from #: this layer. This can be used with :py:`0` and :py:`1` to replace certain #: values in `other` with 1.0, since :py:`other ** 0 = 1.0` and #: :py:`other ** 1 = other`. operation: Callable def __hash__(self) -> int: return hash(repr(self))
[docs] @abstractmethod def quantify(self, coords: Mapping[str, Any]) -> Quantity: """Return a quantification of the layer. The returned value: - **May** have any of the dimensions indicated by `coords`. - For such dimensions, **should** have some or all of the labels in `coords`. Subclasses **must** implement this method. """ pass
[docs] def apply(self, other: Quantity, coords: Mapping[str, Any]) -> Quantity: """:meth:`.quantify` this layer and combine it with `other`. Subclasses **may** override this method. The default implementation combines `other` with the results of :meth:`quantify` using :attr:`operation`. """ return self.operation(other, self.quantify(coords))
[docs] class Constant(Layer): """A value that is constant across 1 or more :attr:`dims`. Parameters ---------- value : If not :class:`.Quantity`, it is transformed to one. dims : Either a sequence of :class:`str`, or a single :class:`str` expression like "x y z" or "x-y-z", which is split to a sequence. """ #: Fixed value. value: Quantity #: Dimensions of the result. dims: tuple[str, ...] operation = operator.mul #: Units. units: str = "dimensionless"
[docs] def __init__(self, value: Union[float, Quantity], dims: Union[str, Sequence[str]]): self.value = ( value if isinstance(value, Quantity) else Quantity(value, units=self.units) ) self.dims = ( tuple(re.split("[ -]", dims)) if isinstance(dims, str) else tuple(dims) )
[docs] def quantify(self, coords): result = self.value # FIXME genno cannot handle multiple dimensions simultaneously for d in self.dims: result = result.expand_dims(**{d: coords[d]}) return result
[docs] class Omit(Layer): """A layer that excludes 1 or more :attr:`labels` along :attr:`dim`. Example ------- >>> factor.Omit(x=["x1", "x3"]) """ #: Dimension along which to omit :attr:`labels`. dim: str #: Specific labels or coords to omit. labels: list operation = operator.pow
[docs] def __init__(self, **kwargs): assert 1 == len(kwargs) for k, v in kwargs.items(): self.dim = k self.labels = v
def _mask(self, v_in, v_out, other) -> pd.Series: """Return a ‘mask’ for use with :func:`operator.pow`. The result has `v_in` where entries of `other` are in :attr:`labels`; otherwise `v_out`. """ return pd.Series({x: (v_in if x in self.labels else v_out) for x in other})
[docs] def quantify(self, coords): return Quantity(self._mask(0.0, 1.0, coords[self.dim]).rename_axis(self.dim))
[docs] class Keep(Omit): """A layer that preserves values for 1 or more :attr:`labels` along :attr:`dim`."""
[docs] def quantify(self, coords): return Quantity(self._mask(1.0, 0.0, coords[self.dim]).rename_axis(self.dim))
[docs] @dataclass class Map(Layer): """A layer that maps to different :attr:`values` along :attr:`dim`. Parameters ---------- dim : Dimension ID. values : optional Mapping from labels or coords along `dim` to other :class:`.Layers` which produce the value(s) for those coords. **value_kwargs : Same as `values`, but as keyword arguments. Example ------- >>> layer = factor.Map( ... "new_dim", ... x=factor.Constant(2.0, "y z"), ... x=factor.Constant(3.0, "y z"), ... ) """ dim: str values: dict[str, Layer] operation = operator.mul
[docs] def __init__( self, dim: str, values: Optional[dict[str, Layer]] = None, **value_kwargs: Layer ): self.dim = dim self.values = values or value_kwargs
__hash__ = Layer.__hash__
[docs] def quantify(self, coords): return g.concat( *[ v.quantify(coords).expand_dims(**{self.dim: k}) for k, v in self.values.items() ] )
[docs] class ScenarioSetting(Layer): """A layer that transforms a ‘scenario’ identifier to a particular ‘setting’. This layer handles the common case that multiple ‘scenario’ identifiers may be represented in a model using the same quantification. It uses coords along a dimension named ‘setting’ to represent these distinct quantifications. The :meth:`quantify` and :meth:`apply` methods have special behaviour """ #: Mapping from scenario identifier to setting label. setting: dict[Any, str] #: Default setting. default: str operation = operator.mul
[docs] def __init__(self, setting: Optional[dict] = None, *, default=None, **setting_kw): self.setting = setting or setting_kw self.default = default
def __post_init__(self): """Check validity of the setting and values.""" labels0 = set(self.setting.values()) labels1 = set(self.value.keys()) if not labels0 <= labels1: raise ValueError( f"Setting labels {labels0} do not match value labels {labels1}" )
[docs] @classmethod def of_enum(cls, enum, data_expr: str, **kwargs): """Create from simpler data for an enumeration. Parameters ---------- enum : An enumeration, for instance :any:`.SSP_2024`. data_expr : str A string of the form "A=foo B=bar" indicating that the ‘setting’ for `enum` member "A" is "foo", and so on. **kwargs : Passed to :class:`ScenarioSetting`. """ data = dict([item.split("=") for item in data_expr.split()]) # Look `enum` members corresponding to keys of `data` setting = {enum[key]: value for key, value in data.items()} if set(setting) != set(enum): extra = set(enum) - set(setting) missing = set(setting) - set(enum) raise ValueError( f"Scenario identifiers must match members of {enum}; " f"missing {missing} and/or extra {extra}" ) # Call the constructor return cls(setting=setting, **kwargs)
[docs] def quantify(self, coords): """Return a quantification of the layer. The key :py:`"scenario"` is **removed** from `coords`. (This means it is not available to subsequent layers, and also not included in among the dimensions of the :meth:`.Factor.quantify` result.) The value returned is the value 1.0 with the single dimension ‘setting’ and label obtained by passing the "scenario" coord through :attr:`setting`, or using :attr:`default` if it does not appear. """ scenario = coords.pop("scenario") try: setting = self.setting[scenario] except KeyError: if not self.default: print(self.setting) raise log.warning( f"Use default setting {self.default!r} for unrecognized {scenario}" ) setting = self.default return Quantity(1.0).expand_dims(setting=setting)
[docs] def apply(self, other, coords): """:meth:`.quantify` this layer and combine it with `other`. This drops the ‘setting’ dimension from `other`. """ return super().apply(other, coords).drop_vars("setting")
[docs] @dataclass class Factor: """Representation of assumptions used to construct a factor. The assumptions are stored as a sequence of :attr:`layers`, and combined one by one to produce a multi-dimensional :class:`.Quantity`. Factor quantifications can be used in multiplicative, additive, or in other, possibly more complicated ways. """ #: Ordered list of :class:`.Layer`. layers: list[Layer] = field(default_factory=list) def __hash__(self): return hash(tuple(self.layers))
[docs] def quantify(self, **coords) -> Quantity: """Return a quantification. The result will have **at least** the dimensions and labels in `coords`, and **may** may have additional dimensions not from `coords`. Parameters ---------- coords : Target :mod:`xarray`-style coords: dimension IDs mapped to lists of labels. """ # Base result: quantify the first layer result = self.layers[0].quantify(coords) # Handle each layer in sequence for layer in self.layers[1:]: # Compute the quantification of the layer, apply to the previous result result = layer.apply(result, coords) # Ensure the result has complete dimensionality and scope assert set(result.coords) >= set(coords), (result.coords, coords) for k, v in coords.items(): assert set(v) == set(result.coords[k].data) return result
# genno connection
[docs] def add_tasks( self, c: Computer, key: "genno.core.key.KeyLike", *inputs: "genno.Key", scenario_expr: str, ) -> "genno.core.key.KeyLike": """Add a task to `c` to return the quantified Factor.""" dims = tuple(Key(k).name for k in inputs) return c.add_single( key, partial(self, dims=dims, scenario_expr=scenario_expr), "config", *inputs, )
def __call__( self, config, *coords, dims: tuple[str, ...], scenario_expr: str ) -> Quantity: """Invoke :meth:`quantify`, for use with :mod:`genno`.""" kw = dict(zip(dims, coords)) kw.update(scenario=eval(scenario_expr, dict(config=config))) return self.quantify(**kw)
#: Common settings of ‘L’ow -20%, ‘M’edium = 0%, ‘H’igh = +20%. LMH = Map( "setting", L=Constant(0.8, "n y"), M=Constant(1.0, "n y"), H=Constant(1.2, "n y") ) #: Exclude 2020 and 2025 from certain factors. OMIT_2025 = Omit(y=[2020, 2025]) #: Common Factors for SSP quantification in transport. COMMON = { # “Share of Electric vehicles across SSPs” # NB(PNK) The sign of these is reversed versus the spreadsheet, as indicated in the # Slack thread: "high improvement" → "'L'ow investment cost". # TODO Implement SSP4 as HIC=L, LIC=H (what about MIC?) # TODO Interpret the note “?? / hybrid / e-fuel = We assume that 20% reduction in # inv_cost for ICE_nga, ICAe_ffv, ICAm_ptrp, ICH_chyb, IGH_ghyb, IAHe_ptrp, # IAHm_ptrp, HFC_ptrp over the relevant SSP trajectory” —under which conditions # does this apply? "ldv ev inv_cost": Factor( [ LMH, OMIT_2025, Keep(t=["ELC_100", "PHEV_ptrp"]), ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=L 2=M 3=H 4=M 5=H", default="M"), ] ), # “Occupancy of LDVs should differ across SSPs” # TODO Implement SSP4 as "HIC: L, LIC: H" "ldv load factor": Factor( [ LMH, OMIT_2025, ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=H 2=M 3=M 4=L 5=L", default="M"), ] ), # “Difference in energy intensity of LDVs across SSPs” # NB "High fuel economy" = "High efficiency" = *lower* input coefficient. # TODO Implement SSP4 as “divergence (across and within)” "ldv fuel economy": Factor( [ LMH, Constant(1.0, "t"), OMIT_2025, ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=H 2=M 3=L 4=M 5=L", default="M"), ] ), # “Mode share change by [AIR] across SSPs” # NB To be applied as shift from (LDV + RAIL) modes to AIR mode. "pdt air": Factor( [LMH, ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=L 2=M 3=H 4=M 5=H", default="M")] ), # “Total pdt (active mode) differences across SSPs” # This is implemented as the remaining share of PDT for "non-active" modes; that is, # once active modes are subtracted. # # NB (PNK) Disabled to avoid decreases in PDT/capita from 2025→2030 and # corresponding decrease in final energy input to transport. This should be # replaced with a more complete representation of active mobility that starts in # y₀ (or historical periods) and changes smoothly, rather than cutting in as of # 2030. # # TODO Implement SSP4 as "HIC=H, MIC=M, LIC=M" "pdt non-active": Factor( [ Map( "setting", # H=Constant(0.9, "n y"), # M=Constant(0.95, "n y"), H=Constant(1.0, "n y"), M=Constant(1.0, "n y"), L=Constant(1.0, "n y"), ), OMIT_2025, ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=H 2=M 3=L 4=M 5=L", default="M"), ] ), # “Mode share of RAIL/PT across SSPs” # NB(PNK) According to the Slack thread, the same factors are applied to shifts: # - from LDV to RAIL (in the "urban public transport" *and* in "long-distance # public modes") # - from LDV to BUS. # They are stored here as the same value, to be applied where indicated. # TODO Interpret text: "SSP3=low/medium" "pdt ldv → PT shift": Factor( [LMH, ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=H 2=M 3=L 4=M 5=L", default="M")] ), # “Difference in electrification of RAIL across SSPs” # NB(PNK) The sign of these are reversed versus the spread sheet: "high improvement # [in cost]" → "Low cost". # TODO Implement SSP4 as "HIC=L, MIC=H, LIC=H" "rail inv_cost": Factor( [ LMH, Keep(t=["Hspeed_rai", "Mspeed_rai", "rail_pub"]), ScenarioSetting.of_enum(SSP_2024, "1=L 2=M 3=H 4=M 5=H", default="M"), ] ), }
[docs] def insert(c: Computer, key, *, name: str, target: Key, dims: str = "ny"): """Update `c` to apply the factor :py:`COMMON[name]` to `key`. Use via :meth:`genno.Computer.apply`. """ k_target = Key(target) dim_coord = { "n": "n::ex world", "t": "t::transport", "y": "y::model", } coords = [dim_coord[d] for d in dims] se = "config['transport'].ssp" # Quantify the factor c.add(k_target + "ssp factor", COMMON[name], *coords, scenario_expr=se) # Multiply `key` by the factor c.add(k_target, "mul", key, k_target + "ssp factor") return k_target